Monday, June 9, 2014
Economics For Dummies
Income inequality....everyone is talking about it these days. And by "everyone" I really just mean those who can think, and those who don't limit their reading to publications that have some knocked-up starlet on the cover and ads about how to spackle over your wrinkles.
Just to be different, let's not look at it in liberal or conservative terms. You know, the argument that "we earned it, it's ours, you can't have it" (conservative) or "the Man skims off all the profits and pays the workers a subsistence minimum wage" (liberal). Let's be pragmatic for once. How is income inequality REALLY affecting us, besides just politically polarizing us?
The Reader's Digest condensed version?....Not enough people have enough disposable income (income left over after just paying for the bare necessities) to buy enough "stuff" to justify business expansion. Without business expansion no new jobs will be created and unemployment will remain high, which means many people won't have the disposable income to buy "stuff", which won't create business expansion.... It's a vicious circle.
But our unemployment rate is down from 10% in 2009 (?) to 6.3% today. That's good, right?
"Lies, damn lies, and statistics." Many of those newly employed are working low paying retail / burger flipping jobs, paying a fraction of what they were making before the recession. Or they are only working part time. Many have given up looking at all and are living in mama's basement.
But we ARE buying stuff. LOTS of stuff.
Umm, sort of, but only by going head-over-heels in debt. Household (consumer) debt is crushing the middle class. We're living in a house of cards. We can't go on like this forever.
So while the middle class hasn't received a raise in 20+ years (after allowing for inflation), the wealthy have seen their income rise by well over 200%. So much that today the wealthy have lots of money, but no where to invest it.
Publications such as The Wall Street Journal and The Economist estimate that in the US alone there is somewhere between 1 and 2 TRILLION dollars sitting on the sidelines in short-term accounts. Worldwide they estimate as much as 20 TRILLION dollars is just sitting there.
That much money (or at least some of it) in the hands of a vibrant middle class could buy LOTS of stuff. Stuff that would need to be manufactured. Stuff that would necessitate the creation of MILLIONS of new jobs. The middle class would again be a powerful consumer engine, and remember, our economy is 70% consumer driven. Again, it's a vicious circle, but this time in a good way.
Now for an exclamation point lemme throw out some cliches: "A rising tide lifts all boats". If the middle class does well so will the wealthy, who own the means of production. Win-win.
"A little piece of a big pie is better than a big piece of NO pie". If we keep going the way we are....well, let's just say that's how revolutions begin. Beware of the unwashed masses surrounding your house while carrying pitchforks and torches.
You think that couldn't happen here? Maybe not directly, but in most parts of the world it's common. Unemployment in the Euro zone for example is over 10%, and the natives are very restless. Enough discontent around the globe will definitely affect us.
So, we just grab some of the rich folks money and pass it out to the less fortunate, right?
Hardly! That's how you kill everyone's incentive to work. Reform the tax code, stop giving favorable tax breaks, subsidies, etc to those who don't need them. There are probably other ways to level the field, too, but that alone would go a long way.
One last cliche: The rich need to wise up and recognize they are "killing the goose that laid the golden egg".
That's not a liberal or a conservative opinion. That's a pragmatic fact.
S
Sunday, June 8, 2014
"Normal" is a relative term
Looks like things are returning to normal here. Over the past week we buried my 96-year old aunt (on Tuesday) and yesterday we laid to rest my 96-year old step-mom, too. They both just wore out and died peacefully....they did it right!
Interesting factoid: If I understood the story correctly, my step-mom invented the "conference call". It was during WWII and she was working for the Southwestern Bell phone company.
She figured out a way to plug in the wires to the switchboard in such a way that she could connect calls from servicemen to multiple people on the other end at the same time, enabling them to all hear their loved one during the very brief calls the soldiers were allowed.
Later the phone company techies of the day ran with her idea and, in the true spirit of capitalism, perfected a way to charge us extra for it.
Nope, sorry. No air conditioning, no Scotty boy. Texas in the summer is bad enough. I'm not going looking for trouble.
Interesting factoid: If I understood the story correctly, my step-mom invented the "conference call". It was during WWII and she was working for the Southwestern Bell phone company.
She figured out a way to plug in the wires to the switchboard in such a way that she could connect calls from servicemen to multiple people on the other end at the same time, enabling them to all hear their loved one during the very brief calls the soldiers were allowed.
Later the phone company techies of the day ran with her idea and, in the true spirit of capitalism, perfected a way to charge us extra for it.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
They are officially zero. I'm talking about the odds that I will ever travel to India. Before I read today's paper my odds of visiting India were about the same slightly lower than my sweeping Scarlett Johansson off her feet and driving off into the sunset with her beside me in my vintage Ferrari.
It seems in the northern Indian state of Uttar Prapesh the heat spiked to 117 degrees and the power company shut down. The story said that on a good day power only works for a couple of hours anyway, but now they don't even get that.
And being the super intelligent folks they are, they rioted, took the electric company employees hostage, and burned down the electric substations. Yeah, that'll show 'em!
So now they have 200,000,000 people (literally) running around without even their usual 2 hours of electric service a day. And to make matters worse, I'll bet you $100 the stores are all sold out of deodorant, too. Man, they can't buy a break!
Nope, sorry. No air conditioning, no Scotty boy. Texas in the summer is bad enough. I'm not going looking for trouble.
Stay cool everyone. :)
S
S
Friday, June 6, 2014
TGIF
Too much going on....no time to play here. I'll catch up later with your blogs. Have a great day! :)
S
S
Wednesday, June 4, 2014
Inhale...exhale...wheeze...inhale...exhale...
"After years of denying the issue existed, the central government earlier this year accepted that pollution was of genuine concern."
Gotta hand it to those Chi-Coms....nothing gets past 'em! Now if we could just get our Tea Party-ers to step outside and suck in a couple of lungs-full.
And now President O'bama wants American electric generating plants to switch from using coal to using natural gas. I can see why the coal producing regions wouldn't be too happy with this, but if you look at the Big Picture, it's probably a good thing.
Especially now that we can produce all the natural gas we need without having to import any. Now if we can just figure out how to keep the ground from shaking while we're sucking it out. :)
S
Tuesday, June 3, 2014
At ease, countrymen.
What is it with Kings and dictators and the like? Why is it they
always fancy themselves as great military leaders? They seem to have
some sort of uniform fetish, the more medals the better.
The current King of Spain (that would be the General on the right) is abdicating his throne, elevating his son (that would be the Admiral on the left) to the position. Do they have a "uniform of the day"? "Aww, come on dad. You promised me I could be a General today." *pout*
The current King of Spain (that would be the General on the right) is abdicating his throne, elevating his son (that would be the Admiral on the left) to the position. Do they have a "uniform of the day"? "Aww, come on dad. You promised me I could be a General today." *pout*
The
British Royals have long been obsessed with medals and sashes and
braid, too. As long as the missus says it's OK I guess there isn't
anything wrong with it.
Two-bit
dictators seem especially drawn to uniforms, too. In their case I
guess it does have some legitimacy as most seized power after stints in
the military.
Even bad comedians are sometimes overcome with uniform envy.
Could it be it's America that is out of step with the rest of the world? Maybe we should jump on the uniform bandwagon, too.
Dubya gave it a rather lame try, but IMO he missed the mark. More bling, less "package", please.
Nothing else to report this morning. Just an observation for you to ponder.
S
Monday, June 2, 2014
"Rest" is so over-rated. Or so I'm told.
I'm afraid that light at the end of the tunnel is another train coming straight at me. I've been working with bro to handle the structural aspects of a home we're building (actually 'adding on to') for a past client.
I've already passed plumbing, electrical, mechanical, duct leakage, and framing inspections, and only lack energy, which I should have this week. Time to coast? Au contraire.
Bro is leaving for vacation in a week, so I will once again have to assume control of the empire. And between now and then I have several funerals to attend. My 96-year-old aunt passed away last Friday and the family visitation is today, with the funeral tomorrow.
And my 96-year old step-mom (my dad re-married in 1999, after my mom passed in 1994) is expected to pass any time now. I must go pay my respects.
Ironically, we've been asked to build a number of Assisted Living Facilities. (Note to self: DON'T call them "old folks homes"....very un-PC) My first reaction was "I'd rather not", but as my aunt, mom, and step-mom lived their last days there, maybe it would be a nice thing to do. Plus they're paying me, so....
I've already passed plumbing, electrical, mechanical, duct leakage, and framing inspections, and only lack energy, which I should have this week. Time to coast? Au contraire.
Bro is leaving for vacation in a week, so I will once again have to assume control of the empire. And between now and then I have several funerals to attend. My 96-year-old aunt passed away last Friday and the family visitation is today, with the funeral tomorrow.
And my 96-year old step-mom (my dad re-married in 1999, after my mom passed in 1994) is expected to pass any time now. I must go pay my respects.
Ironically, we've been asked to build a number of Assisted Living Facilities. (Note to self: DON'T call them "old folks homes"....very un-PC) My first reaction was "I'd rather not", but as my aunt, mom, and step-mom lived their last days there, maybe it would be a nice thing to do. Plus they're paying me, so....
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Despite still not feeling 100% after my brush with death last week (food poisoning) I made it to grandson Parker's 5th birthday party on Saturday. I wish I could buy a few bottles of whatever vitamins these kids take:
Parker is in the blue shirt (top center), the girl wearing yellow shirt w/ hair bow is his sister Blakely, and the little girl exiting stage left is his cousin, my granddaughter Reese. The rest are teammates on various soccer/football/baseball teams.
Then later Saturday afternoon I saw the absolute best finish to a sporting event ever. My Northampton Saints defeated Saracens on the last play of overtime in the Aviva Premiership championship game (the Super Bowl of English rugby), 24-20. And even that required a video replay to confirm.
Pay attention American football players: THIS is how you tackle!
The game winner! WOW!
Oh well, so much for fun and games. Monday awaits. Have a good one. :)
S
Friday, May 30, 2014
I heard they were dumbing down our schools, but.....
"Just how overpriced is movie food? To find out, we turned to the guy who wrote the book on the subject: Richard B. McKenzie, professor emeritus at the UC Irvine Merage School of Business and author of Why Popcorn Costs So Much at the Movies and Other Pricing Puzzles. Here are the markups for the biggest cinema staples:
Popcorn
- $8.15:The average cost* of a large bucket popcorn (with free refill)
- 90¢: The estimated cost of the raw goods needed to make it, per McKenzie’s research
That’s a markup of nearly 90
percent from kernel to consumption"
The Yahoo/ABC report also revealed:
Wha....?
Reminds me of the story of the two childhood friends who hadn't seen each other in 30 years. One went on to Texas Tech, the other to Texas A&M. (Chris: Feel free to substitute University of Texas here.) They met on the street by chance one day and the Aggie asked what kind of business the Red Raider was in.
The Tech alumni said he was in the import/export business. He said he bought decorative pillows in Asia for $2 each, then sold them wholesale in the US to Macy's for $5 each.
The Aggie said, "WOW! 3%....not bad! :)
Have a great weekend everyone!
S
The Yahoo/ABC report also revealed:
- $6.31: The average cost* of a large soda
- 40¢: The estimated cost of the raw syrup that goes into a 50.5 oz. large Coke.
Wha....?
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Reminds me of the story of the two childhood friends who hadn't seen each other in 30 years. One went on to Texas Tech, the other to Texas A&M. (Chris: Feel free to substitute University of Texas here.) They met on the street by chance one day and the Aggie asked what kind of business the Red Raider was in.
The Tech alumni said he was in the import/export business. He said he bought decorative pillows in Asia for $2 each, then sold them wholesale in the US to Macy's for $5 each.
The Aggie said, "WOW! 3%....not bad! :)
Have a great weekend everyone!
S
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