As a student of geopolitics....I know, I know...*yawn*....I'm always intrigued by what's happening in that hellhole formerly known as the Mideast. It seems those people just aren't happy unless they're fighting someone, and right now they must be feeling absolutely blissful.
Now Iranian Ayatollah What'shisname has announced that if economic sanctions against his country aren't lifted completely and immediately as soon as the recent nuclear arms treaty is implemented in June, the deal is off. Big surprise, huh? It's just one big stall after another. Always has been their MO, and probably always will be.
Oh dear, what shall we do?
My advice: nothing.
The Saudi Arabians have long been among the most vociferous critics of Israel. They have gone out of their way to support those front line countries who have vowed to wipe Israel off the map, and they have sent vast sums of $$$ to terrorist groups who are trying to do just that.
The Saudis are also bitter enemies with Iran. Iran is Shia, while Saudi Arabia is Sunni. (FYI, Islam is 80% Sunni, 20% Shia.) Right now Saudi Arabia is scared shitless of Iran's growing power and their overt moves to expand their sphere of influence throughout the Mideast.
Meanwhile, in the Israeli mind, the Holocaust was just yesterday. They are (legitimately IMO) obsessed with seeing to it that any external threat to them be stopped in its tracks, proactively if need be. They have often been criticized for being a little heavy handed (true), but still, their paranoia is not without cause.
Now imagine this: Saudi Arabia is heavily involved in the Yemeni civil war to their south. Israel sees any softening of resolve to keep Iran nuclear weapon-less as something they cannot accept. They will settle for nothing less than Iran's nuclear ambitions being gutted.
It wouldn't be be a stretch to imagine a temporary unholy alliance between Saudi Arabia and Israel to kick Iran in the 'nads. It wouldn't be too difficult for a massive Israeli strike package to slip through Jordanian airspace (perhaps even with their unofficial support), then use Saudi airspace to refuel and penetrate deep into Iran to do the deed.
With Saudi Arabia embroiled in Yemen far to the south, they would have a perfect excuse for claiming they were caught totally unaware. "Plausible deniability" they call it. *wink, wink*
Israel could aerial-refuel their strike aircraft en route as they ingressed and egressed Iran, essential as an unrefueled flight to Iran and back directly from Israel is beyond their capability. And if anyone knows where the Iranians have dispersed their essential research sites, it's the Israelis.
Israel could cripple or destroy Iran's nuclear program, and Saudi Arabia could set back their old foe for years, maybe decades, just by "looking the other way". Win/win.
Of course, Israel would have to watch for a Saudi double cross as they were returning from their strike and desperately needing to refuel over northern Saudi airspace, but it's a chance they just might take.
The West of course would stomp and holler (very insincerely) in condemnation of Israel, as would the Muslim world (except 80% would be secretly chuckling), but nothing would come of it except a few resolutions from the UN, which Israel would immediately drop straight into their overflowing File 13.
So I say let's just sit back and let the Mideast take care of the Mideast. This geopolitical junkie will be watching intently.
S